The relationship between international trade and exchange rate variability: A review study
##plugins.themes.academic_pro.article.main##
Author
-
Huynh Thi Dieu Linh
Từ khóa:
Tóm tắt
The paper was conducted to survey and review the effects of exchange rate volatility on trade performance. Since the last review articles by McKenzie and Bahmani-Oskooe and Hegerty, the literature has experienced a surge in the number of articles. Many of the recent studies have been empirical in nature and these deserve specific attention. There is often more than one measure of volatility applied in a study, and some new measures of exchange rate volatility are introduced. Although there are relatively new econometric models being applied in this research area, the determinants of trade performance in recent studies are simple. In addition, the number of studies using bilateral trade data levels has increased over time. Although a large number of studies are reviewed in this study, existing empirical evidence on the trade effects of exchange rate volatility is generally inconclusive. These new contributions set the stage for this review.
Tài liệu tham khảo
-
[1] M. McKenzie, "The impact of exchange rate volatility on international trade flows”, Journal of Economic Surveys, vol. 13, pp. 71-106, 1999.
[2] M. Bahmani-Oskooe and S. W. Hegerty, "Exchange rate volatility and trade flows:a review article”, Journal of Economic Studies, vol. 34, pp. 211-255, 2007.
[3] M. Bahmani-Oskooee and M. Kovyryalova, "Impact of exchange rate uncertainty on trade flows: Evidence from commodity trade between the United States and the United Kingdom”, The World Economy, vol. 31, pp. 1097-1128, 2008.
[4] G. Schnabl, "Exchange rate volatility and growth in small open economies at the EMU periphery”, Economic Systems, vol. 32 (2008), pp. 70-91, 2008.
[5] G. Hondroyiannis, P. A. V. B. Swamy, G. Tavlas, and M. Ulan, "Some further evidence on exchange rate volatility and exports”, Review of World Economics, vol. 144, pp. 151-179, 2008.
[6] M. N. Solakoglu, E. G. Solakoglu, and T. Demirağ, "Exchange rate volatility and exports: A firm-level analysis”, Applied Economics, vol. 40, pp. 921-929, 2008.
[7] I. Ozturk and H. Kalyoncu, "Exchange rate volatility and trade: an empirical investigation from cross-country comparison”, African Development Review, vol. 21, pp. 499-513, 2009.
[8] S. U. R. Aliyu, "Exchange rate volatility and export trade in Nigeria: an empirical investigation”, Applied Financial Economics, vol. 20, pp. 1071-1084, 2010.
[9] D. Olayungbo, O. Yinisa, and A. Akinlo, "Effects of exchange rate volatility on trade in some selected Sub-Saharan African Countries”, Modern Economy, vol. 2011, pp. 538-545, 2011.
[10] D. Ghura and T. J. Grennes, " The real exchange rate and macroeconomic performance in sub-Saharan Africa”, Journal of Development Economics, vol. 43, pp. 155-174, 1993.
[11] D. Serenis, "Does exchange rate volatility hinder export flows for South American countries?”, Applied Economics Letters, vol. 20, pp. 436-439, 2012.
[12] W.-C. Poon and C.-W. Hooy, "Exchange rate volatility, exchange rate regime and trade in OIC countries”, Journal of Asia-Pacific Business, vol. 14, pp. 182-201, 2013.
[13] P. Hooper and S. W. Kohlhagen, "The effects of exchange rate uncertainty on the prices and volume of international trade”, Journal of International Economics, vol. 8, pp. 483-511, 1978.
[14] S. Tenreyro, "On the trade impact of nominal exchange rate volatility”, Journal of Development Economics, vol. 82, pp. 485-508, 2007.
[15] W. Jiang, "The effect of RMB exchange rate volatility on import and export trade in China”, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 4, pp. 615-625, 2014.
[16] B. Senadza and D. D. Diaba, "Effect of exchange rate volatility on trade in Sub-Saharan Africa”, Journal of African Trade, vol. 4, pp. 20-36, 2017.
[17] K. P. Upadhyaya, D. Dhakal, and F. G. Mixon Jr, "Exchange Rate Volatility and Exports: Some New Estimates from the Asean-5”, The Journal of Developing Areas, vol. 54, pp. 64-73, 2020.
[18] S. J. Baak, M. A. Al-Mahmood, and S. Vixathep, "Exchange rate volatility and exports from East Asian countries to Japan and the USA”, Applied Economics, vol. 39, pp. 947-959, 2007.
[19] S. J. Baak, "Exchange rate volatility and trade among the Asia Pacific countries”, Econometric Society, vol. 724, pp. 93-116, 2004.
[20] K. Hayakawa and F. Kimura, "The effect of exchange rate volatility on international trade in East Asia”, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, vol. 23, pp. 395-406, 2009.
[21] C. F. Baum and M. Caglayan, "On the sensitivity of the volume and volatility of bilateral trade flows to exchange rate uncertainty”, Journal of International Money and Finance, vol. 29, pp. 79-93, 2010.
[22] M. M. Chit, M. Rizov, and D. Willenbockel, "Exchange rate volatility and exports: New empirical evidence from the emerging East Asian Economies”, The World Economy, vol. 33, pp. 239-263, 2010.
[23] J. Fogarasi, "The Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility upon Foreign Trade of Hungarian Agricultural Products”, Research Institute of Agriculture Economics, Committee on Agricultural Economics, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Budapest 2011.
[24] G. Erdal, H. Erdal, and K. Esengun, "The effect of exchange rate volatility on trade: evidence from Turkish agricultural trade”, Applied Economics Letters, vol. 19, pp. 297-303, 2012.
[25] M. B. Yusoff and A. H. Sabit, "The effects of exchange rate volatility on Asean-china Bilateral Exports”, Journal of Economics, Business and Management, vol. 3, pp. 479-482, 2015.
[26] C. Sharma and D. Pal, "Does Exchange Rate Volatility Dampen Imports? Commodity-Level Evidence From India”, International Economic Journal, vol. 33, pp. 696-718, 2019.
[27] L. Sugiharti, M. A. Esquivias, and B. Setyorani, "The impact of exchange rate volatility on Indonesia's top exports to the five main export markets”, Heliyon, vol. 6, p. e03141, 2020.
[28] M. N. Solakoglu, "Exchange rate volatility and real exports: A sensitivity analysis”, Journal of Economic and Social Research, vol. 7, pp. 1-30, 2005.
[29] J. Cotter and D. Bredin, "Volatility and Irish exports”, Economic Equiry, vol. 46, pp. 540-560, 2008.
[30] K. Hayakawa and F. Kimura, "The effect of exchange rate volatility on international trade: The implication for production networks in East Asia”, 2008.